Elements that would affect that include the timing of the turnover, the location of the turnover, and the relative effectiveness of each team's offense and defense.
This post proposes a simple model for estimating the number of points lost by each team to turnovers from 2005-2011.
I began by calculating the total number of turnovers by location for each team. Because most teams did not have turnovers at every point on the field, I aggregated the positions into 10-yard bins.
Second, I calculated the expected points of drives starting in the same 10-yard bins. I did this for all each team's offense and for opponent's offense to estimate defensive effectiveness.
Third, I summed the expected point values for a team's offense in each bin to the corresponding opponent's offense bin (0-10 offense + 91-100 defense). This number gives me the expected points that a team would have gotten if the turnover had they not turned the ball over and the expected points that the opponent's offense gets based on the field position.
Finally, because these are 'lost points', I show each value as a negative number.
This chart shows the 'lost points' for each team for each bin on the field. For teams that had no turnovers recorded in a given bin I used the NCAA average for that particular bin.
| Row Labels | 91-100 | 81-90 | 71-80 | 61-70 | 51-60 | 41-50 | 31-40 | 21-30 | 11-20 | 1-10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | -6.29 | -5.26 | -4.08 | -5.91 | -7.70 | -5.12 | -7.50 | -8.27 | -5.12 | -8.70 |
| Akron | -6.29 | -5.73 | -6.06 | -4.84 | -6.19 | -5.71 | -5.36 | -5.51 | -5.78 | -5.20 |
| Alabama | -6.29 | -5.01 | -5.42 | -6.02 | -5.94 | -5.91 | -6.41 | -5.67 | -5.12 | -5.83 |
| Arizona | -6.29 | -6.02 | -6.24 | -5.82 | -6.15 | -6.84 | -4.63 | -7.24 | -6.37 | -5.70 |
| Arizona State | -5.15 | -6.01 | -6.87 | -5.82 | -5.77 | -6.99 | -4.63 | -6.58 | -4.49 | -6.95 |
| Arkansas | -6.29 | -5.01 | -7.76 | -5.00 | -5.74 | -4.86 | -5.45 | -5.56 | -4.12 | -6.20 |
| Arkansas State | -6.29 | -6.02 | -6.88 | -7.25 | -4.40 | -7.21 | -4.65 | -6.35 | -5.12 | -4.20 |
| Army | -6.29 | -6.02 | -5.97 | -3.96 | -5.60 | -2.87 | -5.50 | -4.55 | -5.23 | -5.40 |
| Auburn | -6.29 | -6.02 | -5.39 | -6.54 | -5.90 | -4.71 | -4.05 | -5.34 | -4.87 | -5.40 |
| Ball State | -3.15 | -6.02 | -6.43 | -6.57 | -6.40 | -6.07 | -5.00 | -5.49 | -5.62 | -4.80 |
| Baylor | -4.65 | -6.26 | -7.17 | -5.51 | -6.58 | -6.73 | -4.98 | -6.03 | -5.93 | -6.30 |
| Boise State | -6.29 | -6.02 | -7.61 | -3.91 | -3.40 | -7.37 | -4.63 | -6.95 | -5.23 | -5.40 |
| Boston College | -4.95 | -6.95 | -5.61 | -5.22 | -5.77 | -5.26 | -6.24 | -4.34 | -5.37 | -6.30 |
| Bowling Green | -6.29 | -6.02 | -4.11 | -5.82 | -5.80 | -3.25 | -5.25 | -6.70 | -5.23 | -4.95 |
| Buffalo | -6.90 | -6.02 | -4.98 | -4.60 | -5.71 | -5.50 | -5.75 | -4.33 | -4.74 | -4.20 |
| BYU | -6.29 | -6.02 | -3.87 | -5.75 | -4.90 | -5.87 | -5.75 | -5.70 | -5.62 | -8.70 |
| California | -6.15 | -5.01 | -5.27 | -5.82 | -5.90 | -5.75 | -3.75 | -4.78 | -4.12 | -5.40 |
| Central Michigan | -6.90 | -6.39 | -5.83 | -5.04 | -5.49 | -4.75 | -4.48 | -3.58 | -4.49 | -5.40 |
| Cincinnati | -4.65 | -6.02 | -6.35 | -7.11 | -5.75 | -5.45 | -6.35 | -5.02 | -5.24 | -7.95 |
| Clemson | -6.29 | -7.39 | -5.70 | -6.29 | -5.79 | -5.84 | -5.54 | -5.92 | -5.67 | -5.11 |
| Colorado | -6.29 | -5.26 | -5.82 | -4.95 | -7.03 | -6.47 | -4.80 | -5.28 | -5.19 | -4.95 |
| Colorado State | -6.29 | -6.02 | -6.46 | -8.16 | -5.30 | -5.75 | -5.51 | -7.03 | -5.99 | -5.70 |
| Connecticut | -7.65 | -6.14 | -5.69 | -6.16 | -5.15 | -6.33 | -5.51 | -5.47 | -6.92 | -6.45 |
| Duke | -7.65 | -6.39 | -5.40 | -6.66 | -6.33 | -5.21 | -7.43 | -5.71 | -4.97 | -5.70 |
| East Carolina | -6.29 | -7.51 | -4.63 | -5.82 | -3.90 | -6.87 | -5.75 | -4.76 | -3.87 | -8.70 |
| Eastern Michigan | -6.29 | -6.69 | -5.97 | -5.16 | -4.62 | -4.15 | -5.51 | -5.83 | -5.23 | -3.70 |
| Florida | -4.15 | -6.02 | -6.67 | -4.91 | -5.80 | -6.37 | -3.65 | -5.66 | -3.62 | -5.40 |
| Florida Atlantic | -6.29 | -6.02 | -5.97 | -5.82 | -5.80 | -5.75 | -4.25 | -5.66 | -5.23 | -5.70 |
| Florida International | -6.29 | -6.02 | -5.97 | -6.13 | -5.80 | -5.75 | -5.51 | -3.83 | -5.23 | -5.40 |
| Florida State | -8.58 | -5.64 | -4.73 | -5.00 | -5.79 | -6.40 | -5.59 | -5.47 | -4.40 | -4.79 |
| Fresno State | -6.29 | -6.02 | -4.48 | -5.20 | -4.40 | -6.32 | -4.53 | -7.52 | -5.32 | -7.20 |
| Georgia | -6.29 | -6.02 | -4.59 | -7.00 | -4.40 | -6.87 | -5.51 | -5.38 | -5.23 | -4.70 |
| Georgia Tech | -6.29 | -6.02 | -5.61 | -5.92 | -5.83 | -5.17 | -5.59 | -4.67 | -4.78 | -4.03 |
| Hawai'i | -6.29 | -4.76 | -6.63 | -5.82 | -7.25 | -5.37 | -5.75 | -6.58 | -8.12 | -4.83 |
| Houston | -6.90 | -3.01 | -4.54 | -5.75 | -6.40 | -4.78 | -5.28 | -5.57 | -5.62 | -6.60 |
| Idaho | -6.29 | -7.14 | -6.73 | -4.91 | -4.65 | -6.62 | -4.25 | -5.83 | -4.12 | -5.40 |
| Illinois | -6.29 | -5.71 | -7.05 | -5.11 | -5.15 | -5.12 | -6.99 | -7.04 | -5.10 | -4.33 |
| Indiana | -6.29 | -3.76 | -7.06 | -5.16 | -5.34 | -6.62 | -5.66 | -4.26 | -5.15 | -3.45 |
| Iowa | -6.29 | -6.01 | -6.28 | -6.58 | -6.28 | -5.87 | -5.00 | -5.00 | -4.12 | -4.95 |
| Iowa State | -6.29 | -5.91 | -6.24 | -4.60 | -7.90 | -5.35 | -5.72 | -6.24 | -5.52 | -4.45 |
| Kansas | -6.29 | -6.51 | -6.29 | -6.66 | -6.18 | -6.25 | -5.41 | -5.83 | -5.68 | -6.13 |
| Kansas State | -7.27 | -6.96 | -5.86 | -5.46 | -5.90 | -5.82 | -4.53 | -6.08 | -5.62 | -5.40 |
| Kent State | -6.29 | -6.02 | -5.28 | -4.01 | -4.48 | -4.67 | -4.85 | -4.33 | -4.72 | -4.78 |
| Kentucky | -6.29 | -6.02 | -7.63 | -5.82 | -5.80 | -5.37 | -5.67 | -4.97 | -3.37 | -4.95 |
| Louisiana Tech | -6.29 | -6.02 | -7.03 | -3.98 | -3.65 | -4.37 | -7.25 | -5.66 | -5.23 | -5.40 |
| Louisiana-Lafayette | -9.15 | -3.76 | -5.97 | -5.82 | -7.70 | -6.17 | -4.50 | -7.08 | -5.12 | -5.55 |
| Louisiana-Monroe | -2.65 | -6.02 | -5.48 | -6.29 | -6.65 | -5.87 | -4.25 | -5.66 | -5.16 | -3.45 |
| Louisville | -6.29 | -6.02 | -7.67 | -5.70 | -6.44 | -5.12 | -5.51 | -5.03 | -3.82 | -4.20 |
| LSU | -6.29 | -6.02 | -5.73 | -7.58 | -6.03 | -4.62 | -5.51 | -8.08 | -3.12 | -5.40 |
| Marshall | -6.29 | -7.51 | -5.97 | -5.29 | -5.78 | -5.37 | -5.82 | -6.83 | -6.62 | -3.70 |
| Maryland | -5.40 | -5.67 | -5.87 | -6.07 | -6.55 | -5.35 | -4.78 | -5.73 | -6.50 | -4.63 |
| Memphis | -6.15 | -6.02 | -5.98 | -5.11 | -5.74 | -5.57 | -6.63 | -4.50 | -5.62 | -4.95 |
| Miami (Florida) | -5.02 | -5.56 | -4.95 | -6.26 | -6.08 | -7.33 | -5.71 | -5.11 | -4.72 | -3.83 |
| Miami (Ohio) | -6.29 | -6.01 | -5.75 | -5.82 | -5.90 | -4.87 | -6.25 | -5.94 | -5.47 | -5.40 |
| Michigan | -4.65 | -5.51 | -5.96 | -5.23 | -4.40 | -5.16 | -6.09 | -6.15 | -5.69 | -5.70 |
| Michigan State | -6.15 | -6.02 | -5.88 | -6.51 | -5.90 | -7.07 | -6.75 | -6.11 | -6.62 | -5.40 |
| Middle Tennessee | -6.29 | -6.02 | -6.73 | -4.20 | -5.80 | -4.00 | -4.75 | -4.33 | -5.23 | -8.70 |
| Minnesota | -3.15 | -5.14 | -7.00 | -5.61 | -4.80 | -7.54 | -5.00 | -6.16 | -5.37 | -5.70 |
| Mississippi | -6.29 | -6.02 | -5.97 | -7.66 | -5.80 | -4.37 | -5.51 | -5.51 | -4.62 | -5.40 |
| Mississippi State | -6.29 | -6.01 | -6.29 | -6.23 | -4.62 | -4.82 | -4.55 | -6.58 | -5.62 | -5.20 |
| Missouri | -6.29 | -7.26 | -5.28 | -5.86 | -5.50 | -5.57 | -4.93 | -5.87 | -5.62 | -6.60 |
| Navy | -6.29 | -8.51 | -6.07 | -7.37 | -3.65 | -5.57 | -5.51 | -5.54 | -4.12 | -5.95 |
| Nebraska | -6.52 | -6.14 | -5.65 | -6.11 | -4.85 | -5.87 | -6.57 | -5.33 | -5.97 | -5.33 |
| Nevada | -6.29 | -6.02 | -6.13 | -7.75 | -6.40 | -5.96 | -3.50 | -5.23 | -4.62 | -5.40 |
| New Mexico | -7.65 | -4.51 | -5.80 | -5.61 | -4.40 | -6.92 | -5.75 | -5.99 | -5.23 | -4.95 |
| New Mexico State | -6.29 | -6.02 | -5.36 | -5.46 | -5.80 | -4.37 | -5.21 | -6.65 | -7.42 | -3.83 |
| North Carolina | -5.02 | -6.01 | -6.38 | -5.49 | -5.35 | -6.22 | -5.88 | -5.33 | -5.42 | -4.60 |
| North Carolina State | -8.77 | -5.56 | -5.89 | -6.29 | -5.35 | -5.50 | -4.60 | -5.39 | -5.08 | -4.75 |
| North Texas | -6.29 | -6.02 | -5.98 | -5.82 | -5.80 | -5.75 | -5.75 | -4.08 | -5.23 | -5.40 |
| Northern Illinois | -6.29 | -6.02 | -3.48 | -4.41 | -4.65 | -8.12 | -5.00 | -5.90 | -5.62 | -5.40 |
| Northwestern | -6.29 | -7.51 | -5.44 | -4.20 | -6.20 | -6.97 | -4.82 | -6.04 | -4.82 | -3.70 |
| Notre Dame | -6.29 | -3.51 | -5.97 | -5.82 | -3.40 | -6.25 | -5.15 | -5.68 | -5.17 | -5.40 |
| Ohio | -6.29 | -6.02 | -5.98 | -5.75 | -5.80 | -3.77 | -4.68 | -4.33 | -5.23 | -5.40 |
| Ohio State | -6.29 | -6.02 | -8.08 | -5.82 | -5.05 | -4.67 | -7.25 | -5.38 | -4.37 | -4.20 |
| Oklahoma | -6.90 | -6.02 | -6.15 | -5.05 | -6.12 | -4.55 | -3.84 | -4.99 | -4.20 | -6.28 |
| Oklahoma State | -7.65 | -6.02 | -6.92 | -5.08 | -5.40 | -6.28 | -4.91 | -6.77 | -6.60 | -6.45 |
| Oregon | -6.29 | -5.30 | -6.36 | -6.08 | -5.02 | -4.32 | -6.00 | -7.33 | -4.12 | -4.20 |
| Oregon State | -6.29 | -6.02 | -7.03 | -5.82 | -2.90 | -5.75 | -5.75 | -5.52 | -4.12 | -5.40 |
| Penn State | -6.29 | -5.11 | -5.66 | -5.81 | -5.22 | -5.69 | -5.87 | -4.90 | -4.87 | -5.20 |
| Pittsburgh | -5.40 | -6.51 | -5.97 | -5.91 | -5.80 | -5.00 | -3.35 | -5.62 | -4.62 | -4.20 |
| Purdue | -6.29 | -6.01 | -4.95 | -6.82 | -5.28 | -5.03 | -4.51 | -5.99 | -4.92 | -5.70 |
| Rice | -6.29 | -4.89 | -6.98 | -4.79 | -4.85 | -3.87 | -5.55 | -5.33 | -5.62 | -5.70 |
| Rutgers | -6.15 | -6.81 | -5.13 | -3.55 | -5.30 | -5.79 | -5.29 | -4.78 | -6.62 | -7.70 |
| San Diego State | -6.29 | -7.51 | -6.23 | -4.09 | -7.74 | -5.98 | -5.92 | -6.50 | -4.87 | -5.40 |
| San Jose State | -6.29 | -6.02 | -4.27 | -5.82 | -8.00 | -5.75 | -3.88 | -4.33 | -5.23 | -7.58 |
| SMU | -9.15 | -6.02 | -5.75 | -5.82 | -5.80 | -7.37 | -5.00 | -6.89 | -4.12 | -5.40 |
| South Carolina | -6.29 | -6.02 | -5.97 | -5.82 | -6.28 | -4.37 | -6.55 | -6.13 | -4.87 | -4.20 |
| South Florida | -6.29 | -6.02 | -6.14 | -6.01 | -5.40 | -7.21 | -5.60 | -5.28 | -6.62 | -4.20 |
| Southern Mississippi | -6.29 | -6.02 | -5.98 | -7.16 | -5.00 | -7.37 | -4.42 | -6.83 | -5.62 | -4.70 |
| Stanford | -6.29 | -6.02 | -7.48 | -5.82 | -5.80 | -4.37 | -5.75 | -4.83 | -5.23 | -5.40 |
| Syracuse | -6.29 | -6.02 | -5.68 | -7.11 | -4.10 | -6.53 | -5.25 | -3.73 | -5.62 | -5.40 |
| TCU | -6.90 | -5.47 | -6.75 | -6.51 | -4.55 | -6.04 | -4.10 | -5.35 | -5.90 | -5.33 |
| Temple | -6.29 | -6.02 | -8.23 | -5.82 | -7.03 | -6.77 | -4.63 | -5.08 | -4.62 | -6.45 |
| Tennessee | -6.29 | -6.61 | -6.28 | -7.06 | -7.03 | -5.50 | -6.50 | -6.58 | -5.24 | -5.40 |
| Texas | -6.29 | -6.85 | -5.30 | -7.36 | -6.35 | -4.97 | -5.81 | -5.02 | -6.12 | -6.13 |
| Texas A&M | -7.65 | -5.80 | -6.09 | -5.97 | -6.30 | -6.09 | -4.57 | -5.60 | -5.40 | -5.49 |
| Texas Tech | -4.65 | -7.26 | -6.03 | -6.45 | -5.74 | -6.17 | -5.27 | -6.10 | -5.74 | -6.38 |
| Toledo | -6.29 | -6.76 | -7.98 | -5.91 | -4.40 | -5.75 | -5.25 | -6.73 | -7.87 | -5.40 |
| Troy | -6.29 | -6.02 | -6.20 | -4.91 | -5.15 | -6.37 | -5.35 | -5.13 | -3.90 | -5.70 |
| Tulane | -5.15 | -7.01 | -7.18 | -3.77 | -5.80 | -5.37 | -4.75 | -6.20 | -4.87 | -8.20 |
| Tulsa | -6.29 | -6.02 | -6.36 | -6.34 | -5.73 | -6.21 | -5.34 | -6.08 | -5.23 | -5.40 |
| UAB | -7.65 | -6.31 | -6.56 | -5.61 | -5.03 | -6.17 | -5.70 | -6.15 | -6.22 | -5.48 |
| UCF | -6.29 | -6.02 | -6.28 | -7.16 | -6.03 | -5.37 | -4.85 | -8.08 | -5.12 | -4.20 |
| UCLA | -6.29 | -6.02 | -6.55 | -3.91 | -5.80 | -5.75 | -7.75 | -5.66 | -5.23 | -5.40 |
| UNLV | -6.29 | -6.02 | -5.97 | -5.82 | -5.80 | -5.87 | -7.25 | -4.33 | -5.12 | -5.40 |
| USC | -6.29 | -6.02 | -4.73 | -6.18 | -5.80 | -5.87 | -5.51 | -6.43 | -7.49 | -6.30 |
| Utah | -6.29 | -6.01 | -5.15 | -4.04 | -4.78 | -5.75 | -5.75 | -6.58 | -5.12 | -5.70 |
| Utah State | -6.29 | -6.02 | -5.97 | -5.82 | -5.80 | -5.12 | -4.25 | -7.88 | -5.23 | -5.40 |
| UTEP | -6.29 | -6.01 | -5.95 | -6.66 | -6.20 | -6.47 | -6.25 | -5.34 | -4.49 | -4.95 |
| Vanderbilt | -6.15 | -4.89 | -6.67 | -6.73 | -7.21 | -5.42 | -5.38 | -5.83 | -7.42 | -5.40 |
| Virginia | -6.29 | -6.44 | -5.45 | -5.04 | -6.34 | -5.08 | -5.08 | -4.91 | -4.74 | -4.26 |
| Virginia Tech | -8.58 | -5.64 | -5.93 | -6.36 | -6.32 | -5.59 | -5.63 | -5.49 | -3.92 | -5.40 |
| Wake Forest | -6.29 | -7.43 | -5.77 | -7.22 | -6.16 | -5.45 | -5.31 | -5.15 | -3.50 | -5.40 |
| Washington | -6.29 | -6.02 | -5.64 | -5.82 | -5.80 | -5.75 | -3.25 | -7.83 | -5.23 | -5.40 |
| Washington State | -6.29 | -4.51 | -5.97 | -5.82 | -4.19 | -4.67 | -4.75 | -5.66 | -4.33 | -4.20 |
| West Virginia | -6.15 | -6.01 | -6.23 | -4.81 | -6.50 | -4.89 | -6.31 | -5.84 | -6.37 | -5.20 |
| Western Kentucky | -6.29 | -6.02 | -7.98 | -5.82 | -5.80 | -5.87 | -5.51 | -5.66 | -5.23 | -5.40 |
| Western Michigan | -5.90 | -6.39 | -5.06 | -5.31 | -4.65 | -4.87 | -5.34 | -6.48 | -3.37 | -5.40 |
| Wisconsin | -6.29 | -3.60 | -6.06 | -5.41 | -6.84 | -6.41 | -5.68 | -6.32 | -3.87 | -5.40 |
| Wyoming | -6.29 | -4.51 | -5.97 | -5.68 | -4.55 | -6.62 | -4.85 | -5.45 | -5.23 | -5.40 |
| Grand Total | -6.29 | -6.02 | -5.97 | -5.82 | -5.80 | -5.75 | -5.51 | -5.66 | -5.23 | -5.40 |
The chart below is sorted by total points over the 7 seasons. Total points are the 'lost points' times the number of turnovers in that bin. Once I filter down to BCS conferences the teams at the top of the chart are, not surprisingly, generally the most successful teams over the same time period.
It's not surprise that teams that don't turn the ball over much tend to be more successful. I realize that I'm not providing anything earth shattering. But simple numbers don't always tell the whole story, and this is an attempt to capture a bit more of that story.
Data is courtesy of cfbstats.com
Download the data
| Team | Conf | 0-10 | 11-20 | 21-30 | 31-40 | 41-50 | 51-60 | 61-70 | 71-80 | 81-90 | 91-100 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | SEC | -76 | -35 | -33 | -36 | -59 | -89 | -103 | -62 | -5 | -23 | -521 |
| Florida | SEC | -50 | -72 | -60 | -49 | -64 | -102 | -62 | -96 | -22 | -5 | -582 |
| Ohio State | B1G | -82 | -36 | -65 | -58 | -66 | -93 | -123 | -65 | -22 | -13 | -622 |
| Wisconsin | B1G | -44 | -22 | -85 | -87 | -68 | -109 | -62 | -95 | -50 | -11 | -633 |
| Pittsburgh | Big East | -38 | -46 | -90 | -71 | -104 | -105 | -57 | -67 | -60 | 0 | -638 |
| LSU | SEC | -25 | -54 | -69 | -76 | -90 | -79 | -72 | -121 | -22 | -32 | -640 |
| TCU | B12 | -110 | -49 | -95 | -91 | -82 | -79 | -53 | -32 | -41 | -11 | -643 |
| Virginia Tech | ACC | -52 | -45 | -36 | -95 | -114 | -73 | -101 | -93 | -31 | -11 | -651 |
| Stanford | PAC 10/12 | -38 | -60 | -112 | -52 | -64 | -79 | -109 | -68 | -47 | -22 | -651 |
| Wake Forest | ACC | -50 | -74 | -40 | -101 | -92 | -93 | -106 | -82 | -14 | -5 | -659 |
| West Virginia | B12 | -68 | -54 | -37 | -67 | -91 | -83 | -95 | -82 | -70 | -16 | -663 |
| Virginia | ACC | -25 | -45 | -76 | -50 | -82 | -97 | -81 | -128 | -52 | -34 | -671 |
| Louisville | Big East | -19 | -42 | -115 | -51 | -116 | -102 | -77 | -116 | -19 | -17 | -674 |
| Auburn | SEC | -31 | -66 | -54 | -98 | -83 | -104 | -81 | -101 | -44 | -16 | -678 |
| Texas A&M | B12 | -31 | -41 | -37 | -66 | -107 | -128 | -78 | -112 | -54 | -27 | -679 |
| Syracuse | Big East | -38 | -48 | -68 | -107 | -53 | -131 | -100 | -75 | -56 | -16 | -692 |
| Penn State | B1G | -88 | -56 | -51 | -46 | -84 | -142 | -106 | -73 | -39 | -10 | -696 |
| Oklahoma | B12 | -62 | -54 | -61 | -101 | -147 | -68 | -54 | -75 | -34 | -44 | -700 |
| Iowa | B1G | -50 | -30 | -94 | -79 | -100 | -100 | -90 | -110 | -29 | -20 | -702 |
| California | PAC 10/12 | -43 | -45 | -63 | -105 | -130 | -69 | -68 | -81 | -74 | -32 | -710 |
| Kentucky | SEC | -57 | -36 | -107 | -52 | -81 | -86 | -113 | -104 | -44 | -30 | -711 |
| Minnesota | B1G | -13 | -62 | -70 | -95 | -82 | -136 | -100 | -111 | -38 | -6 | -711 |
| Oregon | PAC 10/12 | -57 | -64 | -83 | -61 | -60 | -56 | -138 | -139 | -41 | -17 | -715 |
| Rutgers | Big East | -43 | -54 | -87 | -57 | -64 | -116 | -79 | -105 | -79 | -31 | -716 |
| Georgia | SEC | -63 | -48 | -37 | -98 | -48 | -96 | -121 | -113 | -63 | -28 | -716 |
| Indiana | B1G | -63 | -45 | -49 | -124 | -91 | -73 | -96 | -98 | -62 | -17 | -718 |
| Maryland | ACC | -38 | -57 | -59 | -79 | -92 | -128 | -110 | -103 | -45 | -9 | -720 |
| Connecticut | Big East | -61 | -43 | -91 | -74 | -82 | -120 | -94 | -82 | -41 | -32 | -721 |
| Arkansas | SEC | -63 | -35 | -124 | -70 | -92 | -88 | -98 | -95 | -41 | -19 | -724 |
| Kansas State | B12 | -58 | -35 | -41 | -60 | -136 | -111 | -104 | -91 | -56 | -38 | -730 |
| Missouri | B12 | -44 | -51 | -53 | -135 | -77 | -139 | -54 | -112 | -62 | -26 | -753 |
| Clemson | ACC | -57 | -37 | -97 | -101 | -46 | -123 | -116 | -95 | -68 | -15 | -754 |
| Georgia Tech | ACC | -94 | -78 | -50 | -101 | -111 | -114 | -67 | -98 | -38 | -8 | -760 |
| Colorado | B12 | -57 | -32 | -99 | -40 | -141 | -129 | -91 | -106 | -57 | -10 | -760 |
| USC | PAC 10/12 | -38 | -96 | -90 | -74 | -81 | -117 | -127 | -64 | -67 | -6 | -762 |
| Washington | PAC 10/12 | -82 | -42 | -79 | -93 | -99 | -109 | -65 | -125 | -58 | -11 | -763 |
| Michigan State | B1G | -68 | -54 | -100 | -91 | -71 | -141 | -108 | -67 | -53 | -11 | -764 |
| Tennessee | SEC | -69 | -73 | -50 | -64 | -141 | -60 | -85 | -158 | -42 | -27 | -768 |
| Texas Tech | B12 | -56 | -73 | -48 | -71 | -75 | -80 | -158 | -134 | -52 | -26 | -772 |
| Baylor | B12 | -60 | -88 | -108 | -55 | -99 | -74 | -105 | -145 | -41 | 0 | -774 |
| Arizona State | PAC 10/12 | -72 | -60 | -76 | -87 | -115 | -98 | -56 | -151 | -63 | -7 | -785 |
| Purdue | B1G | -63 | -72 | -64 | -109 | -90 | -106 | -95 | -90 | -59 | -40 | -787 |
| Michigan | B1G | -51 | -88 | -72 | -89 | -53 | -98 | -152 | -117 | -46 | -29 | -794 |
| Arizona | PAC 10/12 | -31 | -54 | -87 | -70 | -98 | -137 | -83 | -166 | -57 | -11 | -797 |
| Florida State | ACC | -34 | -96 | -38 | -75 | -93 | -128 | -89 | -159 | -57 | -29 | -798 |
| Cincinnati | Big East | -37 | -90 | -38 | -128 | -115 | -87 | -95 | -85 | -100 | -24 | -800 |
| North Carolina State | ACC | -35 | -72 | -100 | -82 | -102 | -93 | -97 | -140 | -61 | -28 | -811 |
| North Carolina | ACC | -65 | -36 | -96 | -82 | -107 | -106 | -153 | -117 | -27 | -28 | -817 |
| Mississippi State | SEC | -57 | -72 | -69 | -106 | -106 | -111 | -96 | -151 | -39 | -10 | -818 |
| Mississippi | SEC | -57 | -36 | -60 | -69 | -116 | -122 | -138 | -127 | -74 | -22 | -820 |
| Washington State | PAC 10/12 | -50 | -59 | -90 | -105 | -67 | -98 | -119 | -170 | -52 | -17 | -826 |
| Kansas | B12 | -82 | -85 | -101 | -87 | -62 | -106 | -92 | -122 | -51 | -43 | -830 |
| Boston College | ACC | -69 | -69 | -45 | -73 | -86 | -105 | -137 | -121 | -81 | -44 | -832 |
| Nebraska | B12 | -78 | -55 | -57 | -67 | -112 | -129 | -138 | -107 | -84 | -16 | -842 |
| Oregon State | PAC 10/12 | -69 | -108 | -84 | -146 | -49 | -115 | -98 | -132 | -25 | -16 | -843 |
| Oklahoma State | B12 | -76 | -42 | -111 | -96 | -140 | -126 | -93 | -122 | -33 | -26 | -866 |
| Northwestern | B1G | -82 | -98 | -92 | -59 | -124 | -126 | -111 | -115 | -58 | -7 | -871 |
| Texas | B12 | -82 | -110 | -42 | -81 | -95 | -124 | -174 | -85 | -61 | -18 | -873 |
| Duke | ACC | -76 | -70 | -54 | -87 | -89 | -99 | -186 | -126 | -65 | -23 | -874 |
| Iowa State | B12 | -82 | -83 | -106 | -51 | -198 | -96 | -114 | -94 | -39 | -18 | -879 |
| Illinois | B1G | -50 | -29 | -99 | -82 | -108 | -87 | -217 | -127 | -56 | -30 | -884 |
| South Carolina | SEC | -31 | -84 | -72 | -122 | -195 | -35 | -144 | -166 | -49 | -8 | -906 |
| Miami (Florida) | ACC | -35 | -89 | -49 | -144 | -170 | -132 | -143 | -113 | -47 | -8 | -930 |
| South Florida | Big East | -50 | -66 | -123 | -96 | -130 | -195 | -123 | -58 | -79 | -13 | -933 |
| UCLA | PAC 10/12 | -31 | -84 | -79 | -51 | -122 | -103 | -233 | -136 | -68 | -27 | -934 |
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